The Great Transgender Bust

The Great Trans-Gender Bust

The tide appears to be turning in the transgender debate. As I have argued elsewhere the Marxist Progressive Left—the dominant religion of Western elites—needed a new victim to give religious meaning to their lives. They settled on those claiming gender dysphoria. The left championed the transgender cause, calling it the human rights issue of our time. The Biden administration tied transgenderism to Title IX and made opposing it against the law.

The Left vilified anyone who disagreed with them. It cost Charlie Kirk his life. In 2020 Colin Wright, an evolutionary biologist at Penn State University said the surge in transgenderism was not based in biological reality but was a “social contagion”; that is,  a bandwagon created by social media. Then, according to Wright, “Within hours, colleagues denounced me as a “transphobic” bigot. Anonymous activists emailed universities to poison my job prospects. A professional job board even published mock job listings warning others not to hire me. My academic career never recovered.”

There are many, many other examples of cancellations and assaults on the reputations of people who questioned the dominant Left-wing narrative.

But the Left bet on the wrong horse. It is clear that transgenderism is at the very least, complicated. Now there is a spate of articles out criticizing and even condemning the trans movement.

The Spectator ran an article last October that put forth some of the latest data. The medical specialists who treat gender dysphoria estimate that about 5 in 100,000 people truly suffer from it. Yet, by 2022 100 of every 100,000 people were being given puberty blockers or cross-sex hormones. In other words, 20 times more people were receiving medical interventions then would normally be called for. The article—cited below—said that a study in the U.K. found 50 times more people were being treated than showed true clinical signs of gender dysphoria. Then the article says, “Yet even among the minority of children who do fall within the clinical population, puberty blockers and hormones aren’t the answer. Multiple systematic reviews reveal no reliable evidence of benefit. The harms, however, are significant, including diminished bone density, cardiovascular disease and infertility – to name just a few. Simply put, subjecting children to dangerous medical interventions in the name of “gender-affirming care” is never justified.”

So, why, in the past ten years, did we see dramatic growth in so-called gender dysphoria? The Wall Street Journal had the answer: Lisa Littman was a physician and researcher who coined the term “rapid-onset gender dysphoria” in a 2018 paper to describe a newly emerging cohort of adolescents—overwhelmingly girls with no childhood history of gender dysphoria or even sex nonconformity. “These girls suddenly began describing themselves as transgender, often after friends in their peer groups did the same. Dr. Littman proposed that this pattern was best explained by social contagion, meaning the spread of ideas or behaviors through peer influence.” In other words, these young girls were just going along with the crowd. It is outrageous to turn this herd mentality into a civil rights issue. But a backlash has set in.

What evidence do we see of the decline of the trans movement?

Social contagions, or going along with the crowd, can cut both ways. “Andover Phillips Academy in suburban Boston surveys over three-quarters of its students annually. In 2023, 9.2% identified as neither male nor female. This year, that number has crashed to just 3%. A similar story emerges at Brown University: 5% of students identified as non-binary in 2022 and 2023, but by 2025 that share had dropped to 2.6%.” 

The Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression’s annual survey of U.S. college students, the percentage of students identifying as transgender halved from 6.8 percent in 2022 to 3.6 percent in 2025. In other words, all of a sudden a condition treated by the left as the “civil rights issue of our time” was about to disappear.

From a social scientific viewpoint “gender affirming care” is never justified. From a medical viewpoint it is never justified. And in the view of biblical theology it is never justified.

It appears to be a passing fad that has created a firestorm of hostility toward its enemies and has ruined countless lives.

Why did transgenderism become such a big issue in the first place? 

I have explained this in other videos but let me summarize. For the Left all of history is conflict between groups. Oppressors and victims. Fighting for justice for victims gives people on the Left religious meaning. Defending the victim is an integral part of their religion. In this little melodrama what is always required? Victims. A number of years ago I said that the left was winning their battle for gay rights. I predicted then that they would find another victim to assist. I never dreamed it would be the transgendered but that’s who they settled on. And after this issue goes away the Left will find another victim to defend. They have to. It is a religious necessity.

The Marxist, Progressive Left is the cult that has replaced Christianity as the religion of the elites in the West. Removing Christianity as the driving force of our culture always ends in disaster. The transgender craze is just one more example. The answer is simple. Return to faith in Jesus Christ and He will give you rest for your souls. And He will protect you from insane doctrinal beliefs.



More: Why the Left has gone insane over Transgenderism; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nabPZYePXI4

Transgenderism and Identity: A Christian Perspective on What Truly Matters; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VOgKpxQLe4

January Littlejohn; Spectator: https://thespectator.com/topic/gender-affirming-care-almost-never-justified/?utm_source=Spectator%20World%20Signup&utm_campaign=807682ee78-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2025_10_30_07_24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-807682ee78-154787678

It would be unthinkable to have put children through all this for nothing, and for American medics to have gone along with it all. But the awful truth is that there is no evidence that allowing children to transition actually works in any meaningful sense.

Even according to the standards of those who would help children to transition, there is simply no justification for the mass medicalization of healthy children under the guise of “gender-affirming care.”

These WPATH-aligned professionals estimate the prevalence of the clinical population to be around 4.6 to 7.5 per 100,000 individuals.

Next, the authors compare these numbers with recent data on how many adolescents are actually being diagnosed and treated. They cite a study from this year in the journal JAMA Pediatrics which found that approximately 100 out of every 100,000 American adolescents received puberty blockers or cross-sex hormones between 2018 and 2022.

But Littman was on to something. Her early observations pointed to a powerful influence: the role of social contagion and online communities. 

Another study from this year found a 50-fold increase in gender dysphoria diagnoses in UK primary care for children and young people between 2011 and 2021.

From the Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/evidence-backs-the-transgender-social-contagion-hypothesis-40937876?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqepAlVNCDrQhY2a7rHxupd68YBKR8LljL3YRX6EHukjWSrs4G4TgINZCFHt8NU%3D&gaa_ts=6903788b&gaa_sig=901uGUBFiy4BBtH3ETMlICwc7_PwUq6At8iRyuLyeb4vVB44v7ebvFewYfA1N_ORYqkAo_OAA52Ex1HL6hB_zg%3D%3D&vcrmeid=ni974hQxxUaRJFyu3d0dGQ&vcrmiid=86QfeMrW2Eyl8NB4Nx4M3A

Colin Wright: Suggesting that social factors might cause or contribute to transgender identification violated fashionable left-wing dogma: that “gender identity” is an innate and immutable trait, and that some people are born with one that conflicts with their sex.

I was an academic scientist at Penn State in February 2020, when I became the target of an online mob for tweeting about transgender identity. I shared a link to an article from the Guardian with the accompanying quote: “Sweden’s Board of Health and Welfare confirmed a 1,500% rise between 2008 and 2018 in gender dysphoria diagnoses among 13- to 17-year-olds born as girls.” My commentary was brief: “Two words: social contagion.”

From Spiked: https://www.spiked-online.com/2025/11/11/the-trans-reckoning-has-arrived/

The varying justifications used by journalists is a testament to their commitment to dishonesty. They moved from ‘this isn’t happening’ to ‘it’s happening but the numbers are tiny – why do you care?’ to ‘I find this offensive’. Then, after the irrefutable evidence of the Cass Review: ‘You’re right, we are where we are, I did my best during a difficult time.’

First Things weighs in: https://firstthings.com/the-collapse-of-trans-identification/

Newsweek reports on HHS findings and the dishonesty of the Left: https://www.newsweek.com/liberals-should-read-the-hhs-review-of-pediatric-gender-affirming-care-opinion-11273400